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Gold & Silver Crash: What's Next for Your Portfolio?

Commodities |
Analysed 50+ Sources
, India
4 HRS AGO
|
THE TAKEAWAY

WHY THIS MATTERS?

Context

Gold and silver had massive rallies in 2024 (gold up 70%, silver up 170%), driven by inflation fears and market uncertainty, making many investors rich quickly. This matters to regular people because these metals are popular investments for hedging against economic risks, and sudden crashes can wipe out savings or retirement funds.

What you gain?

When markets get volatile, gold tends to be the safer bet for preserving wealth, while silver is riskier but can offer bigger gains (and losses). It's a classic trade-off between stability and volatility in uncertain times.

Why Reported Now?

This is happening today because President Trump just nominated Kevin Warsh, known as a tough inflation fighter, to lead the Federal Reserve. Traders expect this will lead to higher US interest rates, strengthening the dollar and making gold and silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, triggering a selloff.

WHO IS IMPACTED

Analysis

Deep Dive Analysis

01

The Narrative

What triggered the precious metals crash?

Gold and silver prices have plunged dramatically in recent days, with gold dropping 24% from its peak and silver falling a staggering 44%. This sudden reversal comes after a historic rally earlier in 2024 that saw gold surge 70% and silver skyrocket 170%. The immediate catalyst was President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve. Warsh is known as a tough inflation fighter, and traders expect his appointment will lead to higher US interest rates, strengthening the dollar and making gold and silver more expensive for international buyers.

How severe is the damage?

The numbers tell a stark story. Gold has fallen to ₹1,38,888 per 10 grams while silver dropped to ₹2,33,774 per kilogram, with international prices following similar patterns. The selloff began last Friday with gold down 11.4% and silver plummeting 31.4% in a single session. By Monday, the decline continued with silver reaching ₹2.6 lakh per kg and gold at ₹1.52 lakh per 10 grams. Adding to the pressure, CME Group increased margin requirements for gold and silver futures, raising costs for leveraged positions and forcing some investors to sell.

02

Key Perspectives

Investors Seeking Stability (Gold)

  • Gold's price drop (down 24% from peak) is less severe than silver's, reflecting its lower volatility (20% annualized vs silver's 36%), making it a more stable store of value during market turmoil.
  • The selloff is driven by a stronger US dollar due to Kevin Warsh's Fed nomination, which signals tighter monetary policy, but gold's long-term appeal as an inflation hedge remains intact.
TIMELINE

CHRONOLOGY OF EVENTS

01
January 29
Silver hit record peak of ₹4,04,500/kg
02
Friday (recent)
Selloff began with gold down 11.4% and silver 31.4%
03
Monday (recent)
Silver dropped to ₹2.6 lakh/kg, gold to ₹1.52 lakh/10g
04
February 11, 2026
US monthly job report scheduled for release
Forecast

What to Watch Next

01

US ISM services and manufacturing data, plus monthly job report

Reason: These indicators will influence Fed policy expectations and dollar strength, directly impacting gold and silver prices.

02

Reserve Bank of India's policy decision

Reason: RBI's stance could affect domestic gold and silver demand and pricing in India, a key market for these metals.

03

Gold testing support at $4,680-$4,620 and silver at $67-$74

Reason: These price levels will indicate near-term direction; breaking below could signal further declines, while holding may suggest stabilization.

FAQ

Important Questions

Players

Main Agents & Their Intent

Conclusion

"The crash deepens with new volatility from margin hikes, testing investor patience. Gold remains the safer hold, but silver's wild swings offer high-risk tactical plays. Winners are cautious traders waiting for stability; losers are leveraged speculators forced to sell. Watch if prices stabilize at expert support levels or break lower, signaling the next big move."